Independent, Fee-Only Financial Advisor

Independent, Fee-Only Financial Advisor

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Uncertainty

Markets react to political uncertainty by delivering volatility. As we have gotten closer to the deadline for a debt ceiling deal, the markets have swung wilder. Today the Nasdaq is down 2.65% and the S&P is down 2.03%.
An outright default is generally agreed to be the most impossible outcome of the situation, but other options aren't necessarily great. A long term deal is most desirable from a market standpoint. Understanding what the fiscal situation will be for years down the line gives more confidence to market participants, even if they don't like the equation. A temporary deal may give a bit of breathing space, but it is unlikely to impress. A temporary deal may only further erode the trust of market participants in our politicians to get important things done in a reasonable manner.